So just how bad of a finisher is Gabriel Jesus?
7 min read

So just how bad of a finisher is Gabriel Jesus?

A data deep dive into Gabrial Jesus' shooting
So just how bad of a finisher is Gabriel Jesus?

When the transfer rumors that Arsenal are interested in Manchester City's Gabriel Jesus, it made me pretty excited (especially because it came from the very reputable David Ornstein).

Arsenal exploring possibility of signing Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus
Arsenal are exploring the possibility of signing striker Gabriel Jesus from Manchester City in the summer transfer window, The Athletic...

One of the biggest things I heard on Twitter is that he isn't a good fit for Arsenal because he's not a good finisher (plus a few that he is just bang average, which I most certainly do not believe.

The he isn't a good finisher part tho...

That is a much more interesting question. Looking at the publically available data on Understat. He has 69.97 non-penalty expected goals and 54 non-penalty goals. He has been under his xG every season of his career according to understat:

2021/2022: 7.88 +1.88
2020/2021: 9.65 +0.65
2019/2020: 20.25 +6.25
2018/2019: 11.86 +5.86
2017/2018: 13.84 +0.84
2016/2017: 6.48 +0.48

The big question is what does this mean and what should we expect going forward?

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